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According to detailed state-level data collected by Experity across urgent care centers, Texas (30.9%) and Utah (30.8%) are leading the nation in COVID-19 positivity rates through August 18, 2025. Summer’s big picture, dating back to June 1, shows the 7-day positivity rate overall has grown from 5% to 20% for U.S. urgent cares—a rate that is lower than this time last year. Positivity rates in 2024 peaked at 31.3% in August, according to Experity. With back-to-school physicals and vaccines still filling their clinical schedules, busy urgent cares may be wise to prepare for the possibility that COVID has less predictable seasonality than previously anticipated. 

COVID rates on the rise nationwide: National data is showing reported COVID-19 positivity rates near 9% through August 9, 2025, which represents an increase of 0.6% over the previous week, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Meanwhile, the percentage of emergency department visits that were diagnosed as COVID-19 grew by 12.4% for the week.

High COVID Positivity in August Sheds Light on Seasonality Trends 
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